新加坡政府强行给楼市降温后,到底该买房么?

R003742J 提交于 周一, 08/27/2018 - 00:00

<p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">前段时间,新加坡政府突然重磅出击,调高了买房额外印花税!涨税前的一晚,新楼盘抢先开盘,全城出动漏夜排队,中介、地产商都忙疯了……</span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br/></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><img src="http://sg.data.app.1fenda.com/sites/default/files/group/129/images/2018…; title="1535348256_862565.jpg" alt="IMG_4906.jpg"/></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br/></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">到处都是人从众的景象!光是从消息公布到午夜12点,那晚的短短4个小时内,房产交易额高达15亿+++,相当于</span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">一晚上达成了一年10%的交易量啊!</strong><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">抢房的人都是按分钟计算时间的:</span></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br/></span></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><img src="http://sg.data.app.1fenda.com/sites/default/files/group/129/images/2018…; title="1535348346_514786.jpg" alt="6402-115.jpg"/></span></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">之所以这么疯狂,是因为第二天(7月6日)零点开始,除了购买第一套房产的新加坡公民和永久居民,其余买家要缴交的额外买方印花税(ABSD)都</span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">上调五个百分点,</strong><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">而且</span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">贷款比例也从80%下调到了75%</strong><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">!</span></span></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br/></span></span></span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><img src="http://sg.data.app.1fenda.com/sites/default/files/group/129/images/2018…; title="1535348378_626171.jpg" alt="6403-111.jpg"/></span></span></span></p><p><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px;">那么,一晚的疯狂过后,冷静下来的我们不禁要问,</span><strong style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; box-sizing: border-box;">还值得在新加坡买房么?</strong><br/></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">政府此番通过增加买方印花税来控制房价,速度之快,力度之大,让好多人都始料未及。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">一些人认为,政府的做法是可以理解的,且有先例可循……</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><a href="http://www.yan.sg/blog/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/6404-99.jpg&quot; style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(53, 173, 113); text-decoration-line: none;"></a></p><p><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><img src="http://sg.data.app.1fenda.com/sites/default/files/group/129/images/2018…; title="1535348411_792625.jpg" alt="6405-89.jpg"/></span></span></span><br/></p><p></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">如图,1997年金融危机之前,新加坡房市也火得一塌糊涂。金融危机一来,私人房产均价跌了44%。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">2008年美国“次贷危机“之前,新加坡房市也是一路攀升。次贷危机一来,新加坡私人房价跌25%。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">为了防止“爬得高,跌得重”的历史重演,新加坡政府这次选择在房价暴跌前介入控制房价,目的不是要拉低房价,而是要调节房地产市场的周期。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">如果放任房价飙升,“可能与经济基本面脱钩“,为楼市稳定带来风险。何谓“可能与经济基本面脱钩“?大白话就是:房价与经济现况不匹配,换句话说,房价上升得比经济发展快!</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">房价如果上升得比经济发展和收入增长快,那么,就可能造成需要买房的人买不起。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><a href="http://www.yan.sg/blog/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/6406-79.jpg&quot; style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(53, 173, 113); outline: 0px;"></a></p><p><img src="http://sg.data.app.1fenda.com/sites/default/files/group/129/images/2018…; title="1535348462_290494.jpg" alt="IMG_4907.jpg"/><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><br/></span></span></span><br/></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">所以,辉立资本新加坡分析,这次降温措施,会在短期内使得交易量受到负面影响。但短期的阵痛,会带来长期的收益!</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">因为自2010年以来,收入增长超过房地产价格上涨,目前可负担性比率高于2013年,同时,计划供应的52000个单位是过去十年中最低水平 (2013年供应达96000个单位)。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">也就是说,现在新加坡的房产市场供需基本平衡,不会出现一房难求,或是房价高到离谱让大家负担不起的情况。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><img src="http://sg.data.app.1fenda.com/sites/default/files/group/129/images/2018…; title="1535348546_238539.jpg" alt="IMG_4909.jpg"/></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">日本领先的投资银行之一的Daiwa Capital Markets表示,继续对新加坡发展商持乐观态度,这次措施是为未来市场的回升奠定基础。他们看好市场的刚需,尤其是首次购房者和集体收购屋主在市场上需求新的住宅的需求。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">总而言之,没有赶在7月6日零点前在新加坡抢到房的人,完全不用担心自己错过了一个亿!</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 26px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">这波降温措施过后,反而为需要买房的人提供了绝佳的机会,新加坡的房子还是很有投资潜力的~</p><p><br/></p>

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